Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
SPC
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 1
GAR
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 1
SPC
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |