Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
MUN
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
HUA
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
AUC
2 - 1
GAR
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 3
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 0
GAR
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |