Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
MEL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 3
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALI
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 2
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAN
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
UTC
3 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GAR
7 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |