Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
MEL
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 0
ALI
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 5
SPC
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 0
AYA
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 3
AYA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 3
MEL
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 0
AYA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |