Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 2
ALI
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 2
SPC
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 2
GAR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
AYA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
MUN
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
AYA
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
AYA
3 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |