Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CIE
4 - 0
ALI
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
SBO
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AYA
0 - 2
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SBO
3 - 1
AYA
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 0
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |