Alianza Atl. Sullana vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SBO
0 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CNI
3 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 0
ALI
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
HUA
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AYA
0 - 1
MEL
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
4 - 2
ALI
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
CNI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |