Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 1
CAN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SBO
3 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
AYA
0 - 1
ALI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 3
MEL
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
GAR
3 - 5
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 2
BIN
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 0
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 2
HUA
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |