Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-1
Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 0
TOT
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
AUR
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANZ
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ANZ
5 - 1
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ANZ
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ANZ
36%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |