Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
ALI
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 0
ALI
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
5 - 0
GAR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
MUN
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 2
BOC
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
HUA
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |