Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SRP
1 - 1
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 1
LOS
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
AUR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AGP
3 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
COM
3 - 0
SPO
77%
14%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COM
4 - 1
SRP
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
LOS
1 - 0
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
COM
3 - 0
SFC
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |