Alianza Atl. Sullana vs CNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALI
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
30%
32%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
COB
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CNI
0 - 1
ALI
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SBO
1 - 0
CNI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CNI
1 - 3
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 1
CNI
58%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CNI
2 - 3
LEO
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |