Alianza Atl. Sullana vs CA Manucci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
ALI
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 4
SRP
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALF
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
HUA
2 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUR
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
SBO
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |