Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 1
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
ALI
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 1
ALF
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
HUA
2 - 1
LOS
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 1
AUR
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
LOS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LOS
2 - 4
VAL
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |