Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
CNI
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
TOT
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 0
CIE
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |