Aliaga FK vs Tarsus Idman Yurdu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+303%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
2º
10
2º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ABS
0 - 2
AFK
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 0
AHP
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KUC
0 - 1
AFK
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 1
YOR
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 4
AFK
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tarsus Idman Yurdu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 2
GUM
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AYV
2 - 1
TAR
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 4
MBB
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ABS
0 - 2
TAR
55%
21%
25%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 3
AHP
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |