Aliaga FK vs Mardin Fosfat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+321%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
2º
41
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 2
AFK
71%
15%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFK
1 - 1
ABS
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
AFK
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AHP
1 - 2
AFK
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFK
2 - 1
KUC
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mardin Fosfat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MBB
0 - 1
GUM
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AYV
1 - 0
MBB
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MBB
3 - 1
TAR
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ABS
2 - 1
MBB
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
SEK
3 - 2
MBB
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |