Aliaga FK vs Kücükcekmece Sinop Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+844%
+326%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
6º
5º
2
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
1 | 55 |
1º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 55 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 54 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 52 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
4 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 47 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 45 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 43 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 38 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 36 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 25 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 17 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
45% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AYV
0 - 2
AFK
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
6 - 3
KIR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 1
AFK
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
0 - 0
AYV
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MBB
2 - 3
AFK
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kücükcekmece Sinop Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KUC
1 - 1
PAZ
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 3
KUC
59%
22%
18%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KUC
2 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KIY
0 - 3
KUC
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
KUC
0 - 1
IKG
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |