Aliados Lordelo vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
PED
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 3
ALI
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
SER
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
SER
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
FEI
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
SCF
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
OLI
36%
30%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
5 - 1
SIN
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |