Aliados Lordelo vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
ALI
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
ANG
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 1
ALI
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
PAD
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
ALI
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
TON
17%
23%
59%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TON
2 - 1
SAO
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 1
TON
18%
24%
59%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TON
1 - 2
ANA
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 5
TON
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |