Aliados Lordelo vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 0
ALI
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
5 - 0
SAO
35%
24%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
3 - 1
ALI
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 3
ANA
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 1
ALI
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
OLI
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 0
PAR
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 2
BOA
19%
26%
55%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 4
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |