Aliados Lordelo vs Madalena FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ALI
54%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
COI
1 - 1
ALI
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
GON
19%
25%
57%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Madalena FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
TON
15%
23%
62%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAD
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 0
ANG
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ANA
6 - 0
MAD
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 2
PAD
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |