Alginet vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
UEG
5 - 0
ALG
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALG
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALG
34%
26%
41%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
4 - 0
OLI
71%
16%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ATZ
2 - 0
ALG
30%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
DEN
3 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
DEN
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CTS
0 - 0
DEN
28%
26%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DEN
0 - 1
UEG
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 1
DEN
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |