Algeti vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 2
ALG
67%
19%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 4
SHU
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
TSK
4 - 0
ALG
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ALG
5 - 0
ACH
55%
22%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALG
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
SAM
25%
23%
51%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ADE
3 - 0
MER
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
MER
2 - 2
CHK
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 1
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |