Algeti vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 2
MES
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
ALG
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
IME
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
LIA
3 - 0
ALG
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
WIT
2 - 1
GAG
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
1 - 0
LAZ
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
GAG
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
0 - 2
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
GAG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |