Algeti vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
SKU
0 - 0
ALG
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 2
DIN
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
KOL
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
MER
1 - 3
ALG
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 2
MES
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
SAP
2 - 0
GAG
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
GAG
1 - 2
KOL
68%
19%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
GAG
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
GAG
2 - 1
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
GAG
0 - 1
BOR
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |