Algeti XXI vs Mark Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALG
81%
14%
5%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
FKG
3 - 0
ALG
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 3
IBE
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 2
ALG
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ALG
3 - 4
LAB
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
FGT
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
IVE
3 - 5
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
IVE
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
ADU
2 - 2
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
ALA
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |