Algeti XXI vs Hereti Tchabukiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeti XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
IVE
1 - 1
ALG
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 3
ACH
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
IVE
25%
21%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
0 - 0
ALG
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 5
MET
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Hereti Tchabukiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
HER
4 - 0
DUR
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MET
9 - 0
HER
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
TSK
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
HER
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
SKO
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |