Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-10
Algeciras CF vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
ALG
50%
31%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ALG
3 - 1
CDZ
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CDB
0 - 2
ALG
57%
27%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
ALG
2 - 1
ALM
45%
29%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
XER
2 - 1
ALG
65%
23%
12%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
RAY
3 - 2
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
RMA
5 - 1
ELC
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
RMA
3 - 0
BUR
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1977 |
RMA
3 - 0
CDB
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 34 | 51 | 0 |