Algeciras CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
BAL
1 - 2
ALG
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
ALG
3 - 1
CAT
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
RJA
4 - 0
ALG
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ALG
4 - 0
BAL
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RCD
5 - 2
ALG
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
RJA
4 - 3
LIN
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
LIN
2 - 2
RJA
39%
23%
38%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
RJA
4 - 0
ALG
73%
15%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
COR
1 - 1
RJA
39%
23%
38%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |