Algeciras CF vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
33.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1983 |
TRJ
2 - 0
ALG
36%
33%
31%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ALG
0 - 0
GRA
47%
30%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
AGD
1 - 4
ALG
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
ALG
1 - 1
LOR
58%
28%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALG
49%
31%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1983 |
DEP
1 - 2
RAY
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
RAY
2 - 2
SAB
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
RAY
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
RAY
3 - 1
RMC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
CAD
2 - 0
RAY
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |