Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-1
Algeciras CF vs RC Portuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALG
64%
24%
12%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
ALG
4 - 1
ORI
49%
30%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ALG
0 - 1
LIN
49%
30%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
XER
4 - 2
ALG
70%
21%
9%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
POR
1 - 1
ALG
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RC Portuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
POR
1 - 1
JER
58%
27%
15%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SFE
0 - 0
POR
76%
17%
7%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
POR
1 - 0
MUR
26%
30%
45%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
MEL
1 - 2
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
POR
0 - 1
ALM
44%
31%
25%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |