Algeciras CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
SAN
23%
25%
51%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CPC
2 - 3
ALG
72%
19%
10%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 4
MAL
6%
17%
77%
|
35 | 86 | 51 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 2
REC
11%
22%
67%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALG
4 - 0
TRO
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CUL
2 - 2
NOV
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 3
VAR
49%
24%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
NOV
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ACE
2 - 0
NOV
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 1
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |