Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Algeciras CF vs Montcada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
LLE
0 - 0
ALG
67%
22%
11%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ALG
2 - 1
FCB
31%
31%
38%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1977 |
MON
1 - 0
ALG
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
UES
1 - 0
ALG
75%
19%
7%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
ALG
3 - 0
LIN
55%
28%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MON
1 - 0
FCA
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
VIC
3 - 0
MON
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 1977 |
MON
1 - 0
ALG
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +5 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MON
0 - 0
CDM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
MHN
2 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |