Algeciras CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
3 - 1
ALG
68%
21%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
1 - 0
RJA
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
3 - 0
BAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALG
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 1
DEN
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
0 - 2
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MER
1 - 1
LUC
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
AGU
21%
27%
52%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
47%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |