Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-5
Algeciras CF vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
ALG
1 - 1
SFE
59%
26%
15%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
POR
1 - 1
ALG
51%
31%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
ALG
1 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
ALG
1 - 0
MEL
64%
24%
12%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
CDB
0 - 3
ALG
68%
22%
10%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 1
UES
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
RUN
1 - 1
BUR
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 0
DEP
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
PUE
2 - 2
BUR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |