Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Algeciras CF vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALG
18%
24%
58%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 4
ALG
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
SRO
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
REC
0 - 5
ALG
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
AST
10%
20%
71%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AST
0 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CEB
1 - 2
AST
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AST
2 - 3
SDA
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SJO
0 - 4
AST
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |