Algeciras CF vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
ALG
1 - 0
BUR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ALG
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 0
ALG
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CDZ
1 - 1
ALG
33%
32%
35%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
ZAM
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATH
50%
28%
22%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 2
BUR
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
ZAM
4 - 2
ATH
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
NOJ
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |