Algeciras CF vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ALG
3 - 3
TOM
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
36%
32%
33%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 1
ECI
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AGD
1 - 0
ALG
43%
30%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
UBC
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
TAL
0 - 0
ARE
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ARE
0 - 1
CDZ
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARE
53%
26%
21%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ARE
3 - 0
CDB
26%
29%
45%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MEL
2 - 1
ARE
58%
25%
17%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |