Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Algeciras CF vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
OSA
3 - 2
ALG
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ALG
3 - 0
RJA
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALG
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALG
66%
23%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 0
GDE
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CPC
0 - 3
AGD
30%
32%
39%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 0
UES
70%
21%
9%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALG
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
IBI
1 - 0
AGD
32%
31%
37%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PUE
5 - 0
AGD
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |