Alfreton Town vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 2
ALF
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 0
DAR
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
KID
0 - 1
ALF
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
ALF
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 2
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 0
SPE
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
YOR
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
YOR
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
KET
2 - 0
YOR
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 1
YOR
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |