Alfreton Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 1
ALF
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 6
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HAY
3 - 1
ALF
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALF
3 - 2
NUN
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
WRE
3 - 0
TAM
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 2
WRE
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 2
WRE
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 1
CAM
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
LUT
2 - 1
WRE
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |