Alfreton Town vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
FAR
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 1
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GLO
3 - 0
ALF
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 1
MAC
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 1
WAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAT
0 - 2
WOR
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
4 - 1
WOR
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 2
YEO
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 0
BAT
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 2
WHI
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |