Alfreton Town vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 0
AFC
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STA
1 - 2
ALF
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 1
BOS
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NUN
1 - 3
ALF
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAU
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 3
TOW
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HYD
0 - 2
WOR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
WOR
60%
22%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 2
WOR
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BLY
3 - 0
WOR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |