Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 3
ALF
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 4
SPE
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CUR
2 - 2
ALF
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
NUN
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
KID
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 0
YOR
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
DAR
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 2
UNM
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 0
UNM
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
UNM
4 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |