Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
KID
3 - 0
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 0
HAL
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CUR
5 - 0
ALF
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -3 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 0
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
TAM
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
KID
28%
25%
48%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 3
UNM
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
STO
2 - 1
UNM
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 3
CHO
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |