Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HED
3 - 3
ALF
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 1
ALF
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
AFC
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FYL
0 - 1
ALF
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
COR
67%
18%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 2
UNM
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 2
FYL
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 0
UNM
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 2
NOR
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TOW
5 - 0
UNM
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |