Alfreton Town vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GAI
2 - 1
ALF
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
BLY
0 - 1
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
4 - 1
LEA
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +4 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
DAR
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 3
ALF
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
YOR
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 0
TAM
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BOS
3 - 1
TAM
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 0
NUN
43%
23%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |