Alfreton Town vs Stalybridge Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
RFC
0 - 1
ALF
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 2
EAS
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ALF
3 - 0
HYD
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ALF
4 - 0
KEN
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ALF
6 - 0
TOW
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Stalybridge Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
TOW
2 - 0
STA
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
STA
1 - 2
HYD
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
STA
2 - 1
NAN
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VAU
1 - 3
STA
39%
23%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
STA
4 - 0
DRO
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |