Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 4
FAR
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 1
ALF
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 2
DAR
53%
22%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 1
ALF
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
KIN
30%
23%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SPE
5 - 1
GLO
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 0
SPE
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
KET
0 - 2
SPE
24%
22%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 6
SPE
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 1
KID
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |